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Arkham in October: how it has done every year

Arkham has finished October higher in 1 of 4 years since 2023, with a median return of −12.6%. Across all months it finishes higher 44% of the time, with a median of −10.9%.

4 years are far too few to call anything a pattern.

Higher in1 of 4years · all months: 44%
Median October−12.6%average −12.5%
Best+11%2024
Worst−35%2025
+11%−35%0% 2023202420252026
ARKM return in October of each year, from the month's open to its close.

Year by year

YearOpenCloseReturn
October 2026$0.1325$0.1136−14.3%
October 2025$0.5050$0.3260−35.4%
October 2024$1.47$1.63+10.5%
October 2023$0.4155$0.3704−10.9%

Open of the first daily candle of the month to the close of the last, UTC, Binance spot. Only full months are counted. Past months do not predict the next one.

Other months

October for other coins

CoinYearsHigherMedian
Bitcoin107 of 10+10.6%
Ethereum105 of 10+0.3%
BNB96 of 9+5.4%
Litecoin96 of 9+3.7%
TRON96 of 9+3.7%
Stellar94 of 9−2.9%
XRP93 of 9−3.3%
Ethereum Classic93 of 9−4.5%
Cardano92 of 9−8.2%
Neo93 of 9−10.2%
62 signals sealed at the last closeSee them