{"source":"Provyan","site":"https://provyan.com","data_as_of":"2026-11-14","note":"Statistics about past price behaviour on Binance daily candles. Not financial advice and not a prediction.","study":{"coin":"Bitcoin","ticker":"BTC","signal":"RSI drops below 30","signal_id":"rsi-oversold","rule":"14-day RSI closes below 30 after being at or above it the day before.","holding_days":7,"cases":29,"last_seen":"2026-11-12","higher_after":0.58621,"higher_on_ordinary_days":0.52784,"median_move":"+2.3%","ordinary_median_move":"+0.5%","median_after_costs":"+2.0%","assumed_round_trip_cost":"+0.3%","typical_dip_on_the_way":"-6.3%","one_in_four_dipped_past":"-13.5%","luck_after_multiple_testing_correction":0.6429,"held_in_both_halves_of_history":true,"proof_score":46,"verdict":"weak","lean":"none","reading":"There is a gap versus ordinary days but the evidence is weak; do not rely on it.","url":"https://provyan.com/bitcoin/rsi-oversold/"}}